Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.241621 3.579020 3.944345 4.370582 4.855843 5.392975 6.035082
2025-08-31 2.734695 3.182095 3.699638 4.347305 5.142736 6.096357 7.339186
2025-09-07 2.485243 3.005325 3.637199 4.471224 5.557935 6.946860 8.891048
2025-09-14 2.246177 2.796964 3.491837 4.448071 5.754242 7.513133 10.126899
2025-09-21 2.052298 2.618005 3.354388 4.404012 5.896945 8.001072 11.299231
2025-09-28 1.841764 2.394231 3.131310 4.211775 5.799618 8.122739 11.930231
2025-10-05 1.739288 2.305035 3.079157 4.247408 6.024243 8.729558 13.383343
2025-10-12 1.663904 2.245353 3.060150 4.324345 6.311894 9.458449 15.139021
2025-10-19 1.596328 2.190214 3.040949 4.395470 6.592681 10.203518 17.036351
2025-10-26 1.533475 2.136377 3.017783 4.455442 6.857435 10.948498 19.053312
2025-11-02 1.469354 2.075559 2.978347 4.483867 7.069077 11.622504 21.047069
2025-11-09 1.373540 1.960607 2.847256 4.351114 6.988595 11.757277 21.975365
2025-11-16 1.299683 1.876422 2.760935 4.289380 7.033506 12.142630 23.529704
2025-11-23 1.240613 1.811719 2.701230 4.267640 7.148144 12.676340 25.517492
2025-11-30 1.215642 1.798883 2.723748 4.388862 7.538889 13.807807 29.121240
2025-12-07 1.164681 1.741179 2.668175 4.366259 7.651298 14.381165 31.506640
2025-12-14 1.114000 1.681013 2.604457 4.323210 7.717968 14.864223 33.770914
2025-12-21 1.041407 1.581178 2.467706 4.135339 7.475227 14.636174 34.092389
2025-12-28 1.012333 1.552159 2.450789 4.170166 7.691772 15.471231 37.555623
2026-01-04 0.991723 1.536127 2.455194 4.245359 8.000095 16.564226 42.066441
2026-01-11 0.971326 1.519263 2.456848 4.314864 8.303170 17.691495 47.021405
2026-01-18 0.950372 1.500270 2.453340 4.373464 8.588114 18.819078 52.339782
2026-01-25 0.926118 1.474258 2.435406 4.401237 8.805870 19.808661 57.521351